Are there any quantifiable metrics that prove your tax policy will actually work?

Are there any quantifiable metrics that prove your tax policy will actually work?

Or did you just pull everything out of thin air? I have read your FAQ and your policies, but found it hard to find literature of precedent and proof. How do you know they will work? Has this been done before in any other countries? Have you done any economic modelling? Have you consulted with economic experts or do you have a 'screw the experts' mentality?

Official response from completed

Many governments try other tactics to close this loophole like estate duties, inheritance tax, wealth tax, land taxes, capital gains taxes etc. They are all aimed at the same thing - the untaxed return owners of capital make over time. Most of the taxes above impact as a one-off hit, often at the end of life. This is a political choice but the consequence of it is that capital is mis-allocated (ie; allocated according to tax impact rather than economic return) right through the life of the owner. You can think of the approach we propose as aimed at the same thing by impact in an as-you-go basis. That’s the logic.There are a number of very successful economies who have not had the runaway house price inflation for example that we have facilitated. What they have in common is that unlike New Zealand they all try to address the issue rather than ignore it. Is pay-as-you-go tax on income than an end-of-life, or event-triggered one-off tax? If you don’t want to distort markets along the way it’s just logic.

Showing 8 reactions

  • Dan Jones
    commented 2016-12-12 12:46:04 +1300
    Thanks for replying Gareth but it doesn’t really answer my question. I agree with your motives but doubt your tax policy will make any difference in a way that is fair.

    My question was quite specific – how do you know your policies will work, and what is the evidence? You say “it’s just logic”. But it’s still unproven logic. Sounds more like a crazy experiment than a prudent tax policy.
  • Gareth Morgan
    responded with completed 2016-12-12 10:44:59 +1300
  • John Rusk
    commented 2016-12-10 18:43:18 +1300
    Opps, typo: I meant “As an evidence-based party,. …”
  • John Rusk
    commented 2016-12-10 18:42:31 +1300
    As an evidence-based policy, the evidence for this needs to be more prominently displayed. (I know you wrote a book on tax Gareth. I was going to read it, before posting this comment, but I then I realised that if I don’t have time to read the book, probably many other potential supporters don’t have time to read it either. Having said that, I did still purchase it, and hope to get to it one day!).
  • John Rusk
    tagged this with i have the same question 2016-12-10 18:42:31 +1300
  • Mark Alford
    commented 2016-12-09 21:58:32 +1300
    pretty sure as an economist he is an expert.
    What parts are you struggling with? In the policy and news articles there are examples of precedents in various forms such as estate tax in the USA. NZ stands out as the tax haven by not currently having any tax laws addressing this deficiency, hence the current housing crisis you may have noticed.
  • Oliver Krollmann
    followed this page 2016-12-09 16:50:17 +1300
  • Dan Jones
    published this page in Ask a question about policy #1 2016-12-09 16:20:53 +1300